Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 23
Lommel
LOM
Kortrijk
KOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel38%
Draw29%
Kortrijk34%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.24
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession40%
36%Territory40%
32%From set plays5%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness9.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lommel, 1 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kortrijk
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.