Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 23
Genk
GEK
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk40%
Draw29%
Union St.Gilloise32%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.19
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession57%
49%Territory41%
50%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Genk, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.