Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 23
Cercle Brugge
CER
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cercle Brugge34%
Draw25%
OH Leuven41%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.63
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession40%
26%Territory31%
34%From set plays30%
0.16Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cercle Brugge, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.