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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

St.Truiden

STT

Cercle Brugge

CER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St.Truiden59%
Draw21%
Cercle Brugge20%

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.25

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession37%
41%Territory26%
47%From set plays34%
0.19Chance quality0.16
3.2%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Cercle Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.