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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Westerlo

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise61%
Draw21%
Westerlo17%

Expected goals

2.07 – 1.04

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession48%
41%Territory46%
16%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.