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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

OH Leuven

OHL

Royal Antwerp

ROY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OH Leuven46%
Draw25%
Royal Antwerp29%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.35

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

54%Possession48%
36%Territory38%
22%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for OH Leuven, 3 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.