Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22
Kortrijk
KOR
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kortrijk30%
Draw28%
Genk42%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.44
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession64%
40%Territory49%
5%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.11
9.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Kortrijk, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.