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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

Gent

GEN

RAAL La Louvière

RAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gent52%
Draw26%
RAAL La Louvière22%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.01

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.1%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

39%Possession44%
28%Territory30%
8%From set plays37%
0.16Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 2 for RAAL La Louvière. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.