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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

Gent

GEN

RAAL La Louvière

RAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gent52%
Draw26%
RAAL La Louvière22%

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.04

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.8%
  • 1111.7%
  • 219.7%
  • 209.0%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gent will have the ball; RAAL La Louvière will not mind.

42%Possession33%
32%Territory28%
36%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.13
8.0%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gent, 3 for RAAL La Louvière. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.