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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

Club Brugge

CLU

Lommel

LOM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Club Brugge57%
Draw24%
Lommel20%

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.06

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

65%Possession58%
40%Territory36%
10%From set plays32%
0.16Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Club Brugge, 2 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.