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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

Standard Liège

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Charleroi46%
Draw25%
Standard Liège29%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.30

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting Charleroi get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession50%
37%Territory39%
37%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.19
7.8%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 3 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.