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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 22

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

Standard Liège

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Charleroi57%
Draw23%
Standard Liège20%

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.09

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

58%Possession46%
33%Territory35%
9%From set plays47%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.8%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting Charleroi, 2 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.