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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21

St.Truiden

STT

Gent

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St.Truiden39%
Draw26%
Gent35%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.49

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession39%
41%Territory28%
47%From set plays8%
0.19Chance quality0.16
3.2%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.