Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
St.Truiden
STT
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden38%
Draw28%
Gent33%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.23
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St.Truiden will have the ball; Gent will not mind.
56%Possession42%
38%Territory32%
22%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St.Truiden, 4 for Gent.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.