Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
Standard Liège
STA
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège47%
Draw26%
Zulte Waregem27%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.22
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession48%
39%Territory44%
21%From set plays28%
0.19Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Standard Liège, 3 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.