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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21

RAAL La Louvière

RAA

OH Leuven

OHL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

RAAL La Louvière40%
Draw26%
OH Leuven34%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.47

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

44%Possession40%
30%Territory31%
37%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for RAAL La Louvière, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.