Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
Lommel
LOM
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel25%
Draw28%
Union St.Gilloise47%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.50
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–112.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–08.9%
- 0–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession57%
36%Territory41%
32%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lommel, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.