Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
Lommel
LOM
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel25%
Draw25%
Union St.Gilloise50%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.73
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Union St.Gilloise get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession47%
28%Territory41%
24%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lommel, 4 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.