Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
Cercle Brugge
CER
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cercle Brugge32%
Draw28%
Sporting Charleroi40%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.42
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession53%
37%Territory37%
38%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cercle Brugge, 3 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cercle Brugge
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.