Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
Cercle Brugge
CER
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cercle Brugge26%
Draw26%
Sporting Charleroi48%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.63
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession58%
27%Territory33%
31%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cercle Brugge, 2 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.