Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
SK Beveren
SKB
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SK Beveren29%
Draw27%
Genk43%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.48
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession64%
43%Territory49%
18%From set plays50%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for SK Beveren, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.