Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
SK Beveren
SKB
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SK Beveren35%
Draw28%
Genk37%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.34
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.4%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Genk get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession53%
35%Territory44%
9%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SK Beveren, 3 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.