Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21
Anderlecht
AND
KV Mechelen
KVM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht47%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen25%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.06
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–012.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
58%Possession52%
47%Territory39%
19%From set plays56%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.3%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Anderlecht, 3 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.