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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 21

Anderlecht

AND

KV Mechelen

KVM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Anderlecht56%
Draw26%
KV Mechelen18%

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.82

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.7%
  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

60%Possession41%
47%Territory39%
25%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.04
4.5%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Anderlecht, 1 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.