Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zulte Waregem49%
Draw26%
Lommel25%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.08
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession48%
44%Territory28%
28%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zulte Waregem, 3 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.