Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zulte Waregem45%
Draw28%
Lommel27%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.09
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.9%
- 0–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession58%
36%Territory36%
33%From set plays32%
0.15Chance quality0.08
8.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Zulte Waregem, 2 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.