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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

St.Truiden

STT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise53%
Draw24%
St.Truiden23%

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.23

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.4%
  • 219.7%
  • 108.9%
  • 207.8%
  • 316.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

St.Truiden will have the ball; Union St.Gilloise will not mind.

47%Possession56%
41%Territory38%
41%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Union St.Gilloise, 4 for St.Truiden.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.