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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

St.Truiden

STT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise54%
Draw23%
St.Truiden23%

Expected goals

1.91 – 1.21

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession56%
41%Territory41%
16%From set plays47%
0.09Chance quality0.19
5.6%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.