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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20

OH Leuven

OHL

Anderlecht

AND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OH Leuven33%
Draw30%
Anderlecht36%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.18

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.3%
  • 0111.8%
  • 0011.3%
  • 1011.3%
  • 127.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

54%Possession58%
36%Territory47%
22%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for OH Leuven, 4 for Anderlecht.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.