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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20

OH Leuven

OHL

Anderlecht

AND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OH Leuven36%
Draw26%
Anderlecht38%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.51

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession60%
31%Territory47%
30%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OH Leuven, 2 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.