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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20

KV Mechelen

KVM

Cercle Brugge

CER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

KV Mechelen39%
Draw30%
Cercle Brugge31%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.11

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession37%
39%Territory27%
9%From set plays31%
0.04Chance quality0.16
7.2%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for KV Mechelen, 2 for Cercle Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

KV Mechelen

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.