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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20

Gent

GEN

SK Beveren

SKB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gent49%
Draw27%
SK Beveren23%

Expected goals

1.51 – 0.98

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.0%
  • 1112.3%
  • 219.3%
  • 009.3%
  • 209.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gent get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession46%
32%Territory35%
36%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.13
8.0%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gent, 3 for SK Beveren. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.