Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20
Genk
GEK
Royal Antwerp
ROY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk51%
Draw25%
Royal Antwerp24%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.15
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession51%
49%Territory37%
50%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.18
5.9%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Genk, 2 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.