Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Westerlo
WES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi49%
Draw25%
Westerlo27%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.30
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession47%
37%Territory35%
37%From set plays39%
0.12Chance quality0.13
7.8%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 3 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.