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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 20

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

Westerlo

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Charleroi58%
Draw22%
Westerlo20%

Expected goals

2.10 – 1.20

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

58%Possession48%
33%Territory46%
9%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.8%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting Charleroi, 2 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.