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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19

Westerlo

WES

Genk

GEK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Westerlo28%
Draw24%
Genk48%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.82

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession64%
46%Territory49%
18%From set plays50%
0.11Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Westerlo, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.