Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19
Westerlo
WES
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Westerlo28%
Draw24%
Genk48%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.82
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–16.8%
- 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession64%
46%Territory49%
18%From set plays50%
0.11Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Westerlo, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.