Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19
Westerlo
WES
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Westerlo40%
Draw26%
Genk33%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.38
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession53%
35%Territory44%
39%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Westerlo, 3 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.