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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19

Zulte Waregem

ZUL

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Zulte Waregem28%
Draw29%
Union St.Gilloise43%

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.35

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–112.5%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession57%
36%Territory41%
33%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.09
8.0%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Zulte Waregem, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.