Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zulte Waregem31%
Draw27%
Union St.Gilloise42%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.53
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession47%
44%Territory41%
28%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zulte Waregem, 4 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.