Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19
St.Truiden
STT
KV Mechelen
KVM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden53%
Draw24%
KV Mechelen23%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.21
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession52%
38%Territory39%
22%From set plays56%
0.13Chance quality0.11
6.8%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St.Truiden, 3 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.