Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19
Lommel
LOM
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel42%
Draw28%
OH Leuven30%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.18
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession54%
28%Territory36%
24%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lommel, 4 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.