Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19
Lommel
LOM
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel38%
Draw26%
OH Leuven36%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.49
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession40%
36%Territory31%
32%From set plays30%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lommel, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.