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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19

SK Beveren

SKB

Kortrijk

KOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SK Beveren51%
Draw26%
Kortrijk23%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.03

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.9%
  • 1111.8%
  • 219.6%
  • 208.9%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kortrijk get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession52%
35%Territory36%
9%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.08
7.0%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SK Beveren, 4 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.