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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19

Anderlecht

AND

Gent

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Anderlecht34%
Draw32%
Gent34%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.08

Over 2.5

36%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.6%
  • 0–013.2%
  • 1–012.5%
  • 0–112.5%
  • 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Anderlecht will have the ball; Gent will not mind.

58%Possession42%
47%Territory32%
19%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.3%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Anderlecht, 4 for Gent.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.