Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 19
Anderlecht
AND
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Anderlecht41%
Draw29%
Gent30%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.15
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
60%Possession39%
47%Territory28%
25%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.16
4.5%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Anderlecht, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Anderlecht
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.