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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18

Standard Liège

STA

Westerlo

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Standard Liège47%
Draw24%
Westerlo29%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.41

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.5%
  • 219.2%
  • 107.8%
  • 127.0%
  • 226.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Westerlo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession47%
39%Territory35%
21%From set plays39%
0.19Chance quality0.13
6.2%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Standard Liège, 3 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.