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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18

Standard Liège

STA

Westerlo

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Standard Liège44%
Draw24%
Westerlo32%

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.56

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession48%
35%Territory46%
47%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.11
7.6%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Standard Liège, 2 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.