Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

SK Beveren

SKB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise58%
Draw23%
SK Beveren19%

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.07

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Union St.Gilloise get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession46%
41%Territory35%
41%From set plays9%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Union St.Gilloise, 3 for SK Beveren. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.