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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

SK Beveren

SKB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise56%
Draw25%
SK Beveren19%

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.91

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession52%
41%Territory43%
16%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for SK Beveren. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.