Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
OH Leuven
OHL
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven32%
Draw27%
St.Truiden41%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.47
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession56%
36%Territory38%
22%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for OH Leuven, 4 for St.Truiden.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
OH Leuven
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.