Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
OH Leuven
OHL
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven41%
Draw23%
St.Truiden35%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.76
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.0%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–05.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession56%
31%Territory41%
30%From set plays47%
0.12Chance quality0.19
5.9%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OH Leuven, 2 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.