Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
KV Mechelen
KVM
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KV Mechelen36%
Draw30%
Lommel34%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.14
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–011.3%
- 0–111.3%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession58%
39%Territory36%
9%From set plays32%
0.04Chance quality0.08
7.2%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for KV Mechelen, 2 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
KV Mechelen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.