Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
KV Mechelen
KVM
Lommel
LOM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KV Mechelen44%
Draw26%
Lommel30%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.28
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession48%
39%Territory28%
56%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for KV Mechelen, 3 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.