Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
Kortrijk
KOR
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kortrijk29%
Draw30%
Anderlecht41%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.26
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–112.8%
- 0–011.3%
- 1–010.4%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession58%
36%Territory47%
25%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kortrijk, 4 for Anderlecht.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.