Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
Gent
GEN
Cercle Brugge
CER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent58%
Draw24%
Cercle Brugge18%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.94
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession37%
28%Territory27%
8%From set plays31%
0.16Chance quality0.16
6.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 2 for Cercle Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.