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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18

Gent

GEN

Cercle Brugge

CER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gent49%
Draw28%
Cercle Brugge23%

Expected goals

1.48 – 0.94

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.6%
  • 1112.4%
  • 009.9%
  • 209.3%
  • 219.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cercle Brugge will have the ball; Gent will not mind.

42%Possession53%
32%Territory37%
36%From set plays38%
0.10Chance quality0.08
8.0%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gent, 3 for Cercle Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.