Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
Genk
GEK
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk54%
Draw25%
Zulte Waregem21%
Expected goals
1.69 – 0.98
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession40%
49%Territory36%
50%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Genk, 2 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.