Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
Genk
GEK
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genk46%
Draw27%
Zulte Waregem27%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.11
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession48%
44%Territory44%
27%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Genk, 3 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.