Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

Royal Antwerp

ROY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Charleroi62%
Draw20%
Royal Antwerp18%

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.16

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession48%
37%Territory38%
37%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.8%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 3 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.