Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 18
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Royal Antwerp
ROY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi48%
Draw26%
Royal Antwerp26%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.19
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession51%
33%Territory37%
9%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.18
6.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting Charleroi, 2 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.