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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17

Westerlo

WES

Kortrijk

KOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Westerlo40%
Draw26%
Kortrijk34%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.45

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession40%
46%Territory40%
18%From set plays5%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness9.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Westerlo, 1 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.