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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17

Zulte Waregem

ZUL

OH Leuven

OHL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Zulte Waregem41%
Draw26%
OH Leuven32%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.35

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession40%
36%Territory31%
33%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.12
8.0%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Zulte Waregem, 2 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.