Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zulte Waregem49%
Draw27%
OH Leuven24%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.05
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–012.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession54%
44%Territory36%
28%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zulte Waregem, 4 for OH Leuven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.