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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17

St.Truiden

STT

Standard Liège

STA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St.Truiden55%
Draw22%
Standard Liège24%

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.41

Over 2.5

68%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 1–06.7%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession46%
41%Territory35%
47%From set plays47%
0.19Chance quality0.11
3.2%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.