Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
St.Truiden
STT
Standard Liège
STA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden42%
Draw26%
Standard Liège32%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.42
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession50%
38%Territory39%
22%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.19
6.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St.Truiden, 3 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.