Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
St.Truiden
STT
Standard Liège
STA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St.Truiden55%
Draw22%
Standard Liège24%
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.41
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.9%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–06.6%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession46%
41%Territory35%
47%From set plays47%
0.19Chance quality0.11
3.2%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
St.Truiden
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.