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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17

Union St.Gilloise

UNI

RAAL La Louvière

RAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union St.Gilloise61%
Draw21%
RAAL La Louvière18%

Expected goals

2.14 – 1.13

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Union St.Gilloise will have the ball; RAAL La Louvière will not mind.

47%Possession33%
41%Territory28%
41%From set plays17%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Union St.Gilloise, 3 for RAAL La Louvière. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.