Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
RAAL La Louvière
RAA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union St.Gilloise57%
Draw24%
RAAL La Louvière18%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.92
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession44%
41%Territory30%
16%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for RAAL La Louvière. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union St.Gilloise
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.