Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Lommel
LOM
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel34%
Draw30%
Anderlecht36%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.21
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Anderlecht will have the ball; Lommel will not mind.
48%Possession58%
28%Territory47%
24%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lommel, 4 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.