Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Lommel
LOM
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel30%
Draw28%
Anderlecht42%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.43
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession60%
36%Territory47%
32%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lommel, 2 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.