Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi42%
Draw29%
Gent30%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.13
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–09.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting Charleroi will have the ball; Gent will not mind.
53%Possession42%
37%Territory32%
37%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.8%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 4 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.