Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi43%
Draw28%
Gent29%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.16
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession39%
33%Territory28%
9%From set plays8%
0.12Chance quality0.16
6.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting Charleroi, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.