Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Cercle Brugge
CER
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cercle Brugge24%
Draw25%
Genk50%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.69
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.3%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession64%
27%Territory49%
31%From set plays50%
0.16Chance quality0.11
6.3%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cercle Brugge, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.