Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17
Cercle Brugge
CER
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cercle Brugge34%
Draw29%
Genk37%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.31
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession53%
37%Territory44%
38%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cercle Brugge, 3 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cercle Brugge
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.