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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17

Royal Antwerp

ROY

KV Mechelen

KVM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Royal Antwerp40%
Draw25%
KV Mechelen35%

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.60

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.3%
  • 218.5%
  • 127.8%
  • 227.0%
  • 106.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession52%
38%Territory39%
33%From set plays56%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Royal Antwerp, 3 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.