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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 17

Royal Antwerp

ROY

KV Mechelen

KVM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Royal Antwerp53%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen21%

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.93

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.4%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession41%
37%Territory39%
27%From set plays9%
0.17Chance quality0.04
6.4%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Royal Antwerp, 1 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

KV Mechelen

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.