Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16
Standard Liège
STA
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège25%
Draw26%
Union St.Gilloise48%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.61
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.0%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession57%
35%Territory41%
47%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Standard Liège, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.