Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16
Standard Liège
STA
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège35%
Draw26%
Union St.Gilloise39%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.58
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Union St.Gilloise get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession47%
39%Territory41%
21%From set plays41%
0.19Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Standard Liège, 4 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.