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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16

OH Leuven

OHL

Westerlo

WES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OH Leuven34%
Draw27%
Westerlo40%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.50

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Westerlo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession47%
36%Territory35%
22%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for OH Leuven, 3 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.