Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16
OH Leuven
OHL
Westerlo
WES
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven50%
Draw22%
Westerlo27%
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.52
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.0%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–26.4%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession48%
31%Territory46%
30%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OH Leuven, 2 for Westerlo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.