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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16

KV Mechelen

KVM

Zulte Waregem

ZUL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

KV Mechelen36%
Draw27%
Zulte Waregem37%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.39

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 019.0%
  • 108.9%
  • 128.2%
  • 218.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession48%
39%Territory44%
56%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for KV Mechelen, 3 for Zulte Waregem. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.