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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16

Kortrijk

KOR

Cercle Brugge

CER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kortrijk50%
Draw26%
Cercle Brugge24%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.08

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession37%
40%Territory26%
5%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.16
9.2%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Kortrijk, 2 for Cercle Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.