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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 16

Kortrijk

KOR

Cercle Brugge

CER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kortrijk33%
Draw29%
Cercle Brugge38%

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.32

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 0110.9%
  • 109.8%
  • 009.3%
  • 128.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession53%
36%Territory37%
25%From set plays38%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kortrijk, 3 for Cercle Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Cercle Brugge

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.